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Nov 2, 2021 · “McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.” “This happened in all the Senate races. Pryor was in the game against Cotton through much of the summer, but basically got the same vote share he'd been polling at from May onward; Cotton got all the undecideds, almost all of whom disapproved of the president.”“@BenjySarlin @_Jon_Green @EsotericCD Don't want to belabor the point, but I do keep coming back to: This looks waaaaaay different from exurban OH than NYC. Out here we aren't using our excess hospital capacity, we're testing entire prison populations, our statewide death total is about 3% of NYC daily, etc. 1/”

6:46 PM · Aug 28, 2021 · Twitter Web App. 98. Retweets. 354. Quote Tweets. 395. Likes. Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende ...“@kkondik Yeah, the shift in the non-urban, non -Deep South over the past 20 years is probably the most consequential — and least well understood — shifts of our lifetime.”“@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.”Hillary's thoughts on the election results: "It turns out women enjoy having human rights, and we vote." twitter. 154. 1. r/hillaryclinton. Join. • 21 days ago. Hillary Clinton on Nancy Pelosi stepping down: "The best to ever do it. Thank you, Madam Speaker."

Nov 8, 2018 · “I've gotten a few questions about the "split decision" narrative, and whether it should change if Ds pull out wins in FL-Sen and AZ-Sen (good chance in both!). This gets to one of my biggest pet peeves about elections analysis and sports analysis. 1/” RT @davidshor: To be more pointed - Catalist data shows that non-college voters of color have trended *enormously* toward the GOP since 2012, by similar magnitudes as non-college whites (particularly on a logit scale!). ….

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Log in. Sign up“@DamonLinker Except the GOP didn't accommodate Trump. He won the nomination. In part because the GOP establishment kept bickering among itself trying to find someone to go one-on-one with Trump, backing Jeb. for reasons known only to God, and splitting the opposition until it was too late.”

VA-10 was carried by McAuliffe by like 3 points, so if that flips it is beyond something we've seen in our lifetime and Rs are going to have 250+ seats. “I've done these before and they are a handy way to see what the votes mean. Basically, once counties clear a certain number of votes in, this take them and compares them to 2017 results, with 4.5% taken off the 2017 results (since Northam won by 9). 1/”

kansas state 2021 football schedule “@RadioFreeTom @ThePlumLineGS Yeah, but you finally realized (b) was the most sensible path for that viewpoint.”Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "For people under 16 this is less deadly than the flu. Not even on my radar of considerations. And as I said, in a few weeks if you haven't … high leverage practices definitionbandh photo login Sean Trende is senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and author of The Lost Majority. He can be reached at strende ...Jun 29, 2022 · “And we're probably just interested in that statement for the actual fact that Trump tried to commandeer the Secret Service vehicle. Now there are about a billion exceptions to the hearsay rule. 6/” organizational behavior management certificate “@KevinMKruse It's possible, but he'd have to be pretty sure the leak would flip a vote, or think that it would blunt the impact of the decision in June by spreading out the news cycle (the latter is more plausible imo).” do mosquitoes like pine solkansas library databasecity of lawrence kansas In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users emmett kansas Replying to @apearlma@SeanTrende. My understanding has been that the public health officials want people to mask because they're worried about this sort of transmission. My basic sense is that this is headed toward vaccinated people not needing to mask. But we need to know definitively about whether they can.“The truth is, I think the Biden will have a better chance at re-election than the environment (whatever it is in 2024) will suggest, because Trump will make the election about him rather the environment. Should Trump lose the primary, he'll go nuclear on the GOP nominee.” dean smith deathksis sign infoster volleyball Nov 10, 2022 · “One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/” Advertising on Twitter can be a great way to reach a large audience of potential customers. With so many engaged users, Twitter provides businesses with the opportunity to target their desired audiences and share their message in an effecti...